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Survey: Material Shortages Driving
Price Increase in Project Bidding
According to a study by the Phoenix-based construction consulting
firm PinnacleOne, 89 percent of industry professionals have
witnessed a significant price increase in project bidding
during the past year. The average price increase was estimated
to be 10 percent or greater by more than two thirds of respondents
and at more than 15 percent by greater than one third of the
participants. Cost of materials (68 percent) was identified
as the clear driver of this alarming trend.
The survey also identified a growing concern with the issue
of false claims and a lack of understanding on energy and
environmental issues among the construction executives.
The PinnacleOne Pulse of U.S. Construction 2004 survey examined
the opinions of 136 construction industry executives (owners,
architects, engineers, contractors and developers) on issues
related to project management, energy/environment and claim
resolution.
Other major results of the survey found that during the past
year, almost three quarters (74 percent) of industry executives
had projects adversely affected by the steel shortage and
the associated price increase, and a majority (57 percent)
of these professionals believe this obstacle will become greater
in the coming year. And, although more than three quarters
(77 percent) of respondents have initiated energy efficient
plans in new projects and 93 percent anticipate rising demand
for energy solutions, a significant number (39 percent) of
these professionals fail to use LEED green building standards
when designing projects. Moreover, almost half (44 percent)
of the respondents were unaware of promotions/incentives offered
by the Dept. of Energy or local utilities to assist in the
procurement of energy efficient solutions.
"The survey clearly identified a lack of understanding
among many of the construction professionals regarding the
effectiveness of the latest energy efficient technologies,"
said Darr Hashempour, vice president of Energy Solutions at
PinnacleOne. "By dedicating between two percent to five
percent of project budgets to meeting LEED standards, facilities
can generate annual operational savings ranging from 30 percent
to 50 percent and achieve a complete return on investment
within three to five years." Yet a quarter of the respondents
mistakenly felt they would need to dedicate more than five
percent of their project budget to meet LEED standards and
20 percent were unwilling to dedicate any amount of their
project budget to meeting green building standards.
More than three quarters (77 percent) of construction executives
are concerned with the issue of false claims. Of the respondents
that have been involved in the review and analysis of false
claims, inflated pricing (45 percent) and subcontractor claims
(25 percent) are the issues they identify as accounting for
the greatest number of claims.
Respondents were far more likely to utilize mediation (34
percent) as a means to resolve disputes, compared to arbitration
(14 percent) or litigation (12 percent). Dispute Review Boards
(5 percent) were the least popular resolution vehicle. Of
the 31 percent of respondents that have ever used a DRB to
resolve a construction dispute, a majority (55 percent) described
them as satisfactory and just under a third (31 percent) called
them ineffective.
Meanwhile, when asked which alternative procurement method
(other than traditional design, bid, build) they see gaining
popularity over the next two years, almost one third (32 percent)
of respondents chose construction management at risk and more
than a quarter (28 percent) chose design build. Task order
contracting (14 percent), design-build-operate-maintain (13
percent), public finance-lease back (7 percent) and construction
management multi-prime (6 percent) were chosen by a smaller
percentage of the construction executives.
PinnacleOne said the material shortages and an imbalance
in sub-contractor supply and demand that led to a marked increase
in the bid climate on construction projects in 2004 is not
expected to subside any time soon and this places even greater
emphasis on the value of planning and project management in
2005.
The firm projects that in 2005 in an effort to attract in-demand
subcontractors to their projects, some owners will bypass
the general contractors and deal directly with the subs themselves
through multiple-prime contracts and specialty bid packages;
with subcontractors at a premium, look for owners to bundle
multiple smaller projects to create larger dollar value --
and hopefully more attractive -- bid packages for both subcontractors
and general contractors; and given the drastic impact of material
shortages, some of the largest owners are considering such
maneuvers as starting their own material plants (i.e. batch
plants to mix their own concrete) and bulk purchasing of common
building materials and systems. This will likely be a consideration
for only the biggest players, such as major school districts
or DOTs.
Also, with the rapidly escalating bid climate making it difficult
to accurately estimate bid prices and nearly impossible to
allow for adequate contingencies, owners will increasingly
find themselves at odds with their designers and contractors.
This will lead to more owners demanding that their designers
re-design to get costs realigned with budgets, and to more
disputes between owners and contractors as they look to recoup
their losses through construction claims in 2005. This volatile
environment will likely yield business failures, with smaller
contractors especially vulnerable.
And, with bids continuing to rise month by month, many owners
will be phasing their projects using fast-track construction
techniques to lock in their construction costs as soon as
possible.
ASLA: It's a Good Time to be a Landscape
Architect
The latest American Society of Landscape Architects Business
Indicators Survey shows that landscape architecture firms
are growing in size, billing rates are increasing dramatically,
and the client base for the profession continues to expand,
most significantly in the public sector.
The ASLA commissioned the first business indicators survey
in 1997 and repeated it in 1999. This latest survey is based
on information gathered in 2004 from more than 1,000 private
sector landscape architecture firms.
Indicators include market sectors, project types, client
types, billing rates, contract types, design competition participation,
marketing, spending and construction cost ratios, and profit
margins.
"This survey confirms what we've been hearing from our
members: that it's a very good time to be a landscape architect,"
said Nancy C. Somerville, executive vice president of ASLA.
"Since it takes three data points to establish a trend
line, the latest survey definitively indicates that the profession
is growing rapidly in terms of impact and prosperity."
Among the findings in the survey:
- Residential work continues to dominate the landscape
architecture market as it did in both 1997 and 1999. In
2004, commercial/industrial development was second and parks/recreation
third, keeping pace with the two previous surveys.
- Landscape architecture firms with 50 or more employees
now account for 16.5 percent of landscape architecture businesses,
up from only 9 percent in 1999.
- The private sector constitutes 60 percent of the client
base for all firms with 49 employees or fewer, although
it is notable that in 2004 public sector work outpaced private
sector work for large firms (50 or more employees).
- Since 1999, billing rates for firm principals for firms
with more than five employees rose 28 percent, a dramatic
increase over the 5 percent growth measured between 1997
and 1999. For firms with one to four employees, billing
rates increased 14 percent from 1999 to 2004, up from just
5 percent between 1997 and 1999.
- Private developers continue to be the largest client
group for the profession, with cities/municipalities ranking
second, followed very closely by architecture firms. For
small firms (four employees or fewer), private homeowners
continue to make up the largest clientele.
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